‘The Situation is Dire’: War on Iran Squeezes India's LPG Availability.
The shockwaves of a military engagement being fought nearly a significant distance away are now being felt in India's kitchens.
As military actions on Iran disrupt energy transports through the vital shipping lane, availability of cooking gas are shrinking across India, pushing restaurants to shorten food lists, shorten hours and in some cases cease operations entirely.
Social media is awash with video clips showing crowds outside fuel suppliers across Indian cities and towns as worries over fuel supplies spread. Restaurant kitchens appear the hardest struck: the most severe shortage is in food service establishments.
"The situation is dire. Kitchen fuel simply is unavailable," says a spokesperson of the an industry group.
Most eateries run either on commercial LPG cylinders or piped gas, and the shortages are now being felt across the country. "Many restaurants have shut down - some in the capital, many in the south. People are adopting traditional burners and induction stoves to keep kitchens going."
Localized Effects
In a western metro, local news say up to a significant portion of eateries are already operating at reduced capacity as business fuel stocks tighten. In the southern cities of Bangalore and Madras, some establishments say their fuel reserves have dwindled with little backup. "We can only make coffee and no food items - it is extremely difficult. Commerce will take a hit," says a business operator in Bengaluru.
Restaurant operators are rushing to adjust. "Food options are being cut, some are skipping midday meals and operating solely in the evening," an industry representative says, adding that closures are fluctuating as supplies come and go. "A number of eateries in Delhi were shut yesterday - a couple are back in business. It's a changing landscape."
Retailers report a spike in sales of induction stoves, with some saying they are facing stockouts.
Government Stance
Yet, the authorities states there is adequate supply.
India has more than 30 crore domestic LPG users and officials say cylinders are being reallocated to households as conflict-related stress from the Middle East conflict ripple through energy markets.
Approximately a majority of India's LPG is brought in from overseas, and about the vast majority of those consignments pass through the Strait of Hormuz, the narrow Gulf chokepoint now effectively closed by the hostilities.
The relevant department says that it directed refineries to increase LPG output for household consumption, raising domestic production by about 25%. Commercial stock is being prioritised for vital industries such as healthcare and education, while distribution will be "equitable and clear".
"Some panic booking and stockpiling has been caused by false reports. The standard supply timeline for home fuel remains about under three days," says a government spokesperson.
Growing Panic
Now the worry is extending beyond kitchens. On digital platforms, a widely shared video from Chennai shows a lengthy, winding line of scooters outside a petrol pump. "The panic is real," the text reads.
According to reports from market experts, concerns about India's broader energy security may be exaggerated.
India imports 90% of its oil. Around half of its oil purchases - about 2.5 to 2.7 million barrels a day - travel through the waterway, largely from regional suppliers.
Even if crude flows through the Strait of Hormuz are disrupted, the gap could be partly compensated for by higher imports of competitively priced oil from Russia, according to a sector expert.
Based on maritime intelligence and industry information, additional Russian crude imports could reach around 1-1.2 million barrels a day, narrowing India's effective deficit from exposure to the Strait of Hormuz to about a substantial volume of barrels a day.
"Tens of millions of Russian oil barrels are currently in transit at sea in the Indian Ocean and, with only two major Asian economies as major buyers, those barrels remain a ready fallback," an analyst noted.
Cooking Gas: The Critical Weakness
The key weakness is cooking gas, analysts say.
India consumes roughly one million barrels a day, but produces only less than half domestically, importing the rest - most of it through Hormuz.
Refineries can tweak operations to produce a bit more LPG, but even a 10-20% boost would only raise domestic supply to about under half of demand, leaving the country heavily reliant on imports.
In short: "Oil import vulnerability can be moderately reduced through diversification. Refined product supply remains fairly adequate. Cooking gas supply is the real variable to monitor in the coming weeks."
What may be intensifying the anxiety on the ground is not just limited availability but patchy deliveries - and the usual problem of panic buying.
An industry representative claims price gouging.
"Distributors are exploiting the situation - black-marketing cylinders and selling them at a high cost. In one small town, I heard of cylinders being accumulated and auctioned off."
For now, India's petroleum stocks may be buffered by worldwide shipping. But in restaurants across the country, the more pressing concern is simple: how to get the next cylinder.